Response to "To what extent, and how, might uncertainty be defined" by Norton, Brown, and Mysiak

M. P. Krayer von Krauss; Warren E. Walker; J. P. van der Sluijs; P. Janssen; M. B.A. van Asselt; J. Rotmans

Authors

M. P. Krayer von Krauss Technical University of Denmark
Warren E. Walker Delft University of Technology
J. P. van der Sluijs Utrecht University
P. Janssen Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
M. B.A. van Asselt Maastricht University
J. Rotmans Erasmus University

Keywords:

uncertainty

Abstract

In a previous issue of Integrated Assessment (Vol. 4, No. 1), we proposed an uncertainty analysis framework, the aim of which was to provide a conceptual basis for the systematic treatment of uncertainty in model-based decision support activities, such as policy analysis, integrated assessment, and risk assessment. In the current issue, Norton, et al. present a critique and evaluation of the framework. This Disciplinary Perspective responds to their critique.

Author Biographies

M. P. Krayer von Krauss, Technical University of Denmark

Environment & Resources DTU

Warren E. Walker, Delft University of Technology

Warren Walker received his Ph.D. in Operations Research from Cornell University. He is a Professor of Policy Analysis at the Delft University of Technology. He also works as a Senior Policy Analyst at RAND Europe and a Senior Researcher at Demis bv in the Netherlands. He has extensive international experience in (model-based) policy analysis and in the design of decision support systems. His recent research has focused on transport policy and the treatment of uncertainty in policymaking.

J. P. van der Sluijs, Utrecht University

Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation

P. Janssen, Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency

National Institute of Public Health and the Environment (RIVM)

M. B.A. van Asselt, Maastricht University

Faculty of Arts and Culture